The Tactical Blunder of Bypassing the Gold
The booking of a trilogy match inside Hell in a Cell is the ultimate test of WWE's confidence in its newest monster. Oba Femi has decided to put his guaranteed world title match on hold. He has traded that golden ticket for a blood feud with Brock Lesnar at SummerSlam.
This decision is one of the most baffling tactical choices in recent memory. Why bypass the top prize to fight a veteran who has already beaten you once?
On his Hall of Fame podcast three days ago, Booker T's recent comments highlighted his skepticism about this decision. The former King of the Ring winner argued that the trilogy would be better if Oba Femi held the championship first. Booker explained that the champion status would keep fans guessing.
He also took the opportunity to boast about his own historic run. Booker reminded listeners that he is the only one to win the tournament and take the title by force.
“The winner of the King of the Ring gets a title shot, and the reason that is, is because of me. I’m the only one to ever win the King of the Ring to go on and literally just take the championship by force,” Booker said.
Booker has a point, and Femi's decision to decline the title shot is a massive booking mistake. It makes the young star look tactically naive. In a sport where championship gold is the ultimate measure of success, giving up a guaranteed shot at the top title for a personal grudge is questionable logic.
If Femi loses in Minneapolis, his momentum is dead. He will have no title, no title shot, and a loss in the biggest match of his career.
The Physical Math of Clash in Italy
To understand where this match is going, we must look at the tactical history between the two. Their first match in Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium was a shocking display of power.
Femi defeated Lesnar at the 14-minute mark. He won by countering an F-5 attempt into his signature Pop-up Powerbomb. The match showed that Femi could match Lesnar's physical power in a straight line.
But their second match, five weeks ago at Clash in Italy, told a completely different story. Brock Lesnar leveled their head-to-head record at 1-1. Lesnar adjusted his tactical approach.
Instead of engaging Femi in vertical power locks, Lesnar went for double-leg takedowns at the three-minute and six-minute marks. He shifted the fight to the mat, where Femi's shot-put background offered less mechanical advantage.
The physical toll on Femi in Italy was immense. It took Lesnar seven F-5s to finally keep Femi down. This statistic is telling.
Femi absorbed 14 German suplexes and kept getting back up. He even blocked an F-5 at the eight-minute mark, counter-slamming Lesnar onto the ringside barrier.
But it also highlighted a negative trend. Lesnar's modern matches have devolved into repetitive finisher spam. Requiring that many finishers to end a match diminishes the impact of the move.
It turns a devastating finisher into a generic transitional spot. If the F-5 is no longer a match-ending weapon, it hurts the credibility of Lesnar's entire offensive arsenal.
The Rookie Trial by Fire
This brings us to the rookie trial by fire. WWE has a long history of testing its most promising newcomers with extreme stipulations. As Wrestling Inc. detailed, MVP was thrown straight into a high-profile gimmick match.
MVP recalled working an Inferno match against Kane at Armageddon in 2006. The rivalry had escalated quickly after MVP escaped a steel cage match to claim a win.
MVP noted that it was his only main event match in WWE, though it went on first. He recalled standing backstage as the seamstresses literally sewed his cold, gel-dipped outfit together. The meeting about the match involved Vince and Stephanie McMahon, Michael P.S. Hayes, and Kevin Dunn.
“That was the only main event match that I was ever in, in the WWE. It was co-main [event] but because of the 'barbecue pit' around the ring, it was the opening match of the pay-per-view. But it was billed 'co-main' and I got paid 'co-main,'” MVP said.
Despite the stressful situation, the match went off without a hitch. MVP noted that he learned a lot from working with Kane.
Hell in a Cell is Oba Femi's Inferno match. It is the ultimate test of his poise under pressure. While developmental prospects are currently working in Orlando on shows like WWE EVOLVE, Femi has been fast-tracked.
Last Wednesday at the Evolve tapings, Cutler James defeated It's Gal, and Harlem Lewis beat Braxton Cole. The main event saw The Mog Squad defeat Marcus Mathews, Cappuccino Jones, and Sam Holloway. Femi is past that stage.
He is sharing the ring with a combat sports legend in a cage that allows no escape. Brock's familiarity with the cell's physical boundaries gives him a spacing advantage. He knows how to use the cage as a weapon to restrict an opponent's movement.
Femi must keep the match in the center of the ring. That is where his lateral quickness and vertical power can be utilized.
The Prediction: Femi's Path to Victory
So who wins the rubber match? The smart money is on Oba Femi. A victory for Brock Lesnar does nothing for the future of the company.
Lesnar is a part-time attraction. Femi is the future of WWE's heavyweight division. A win inside Hell in a Cell cements him as a main-event threat for the next decade.
The finish will be physical. Lesnar will try to wear Femi down with suplexes early. But Femi's youth and stamina will carry him through the 15-minute mark.
Lesnar will attempt another F-5, but his back will give out. Femi will slide out of the lift and hit a massive lariat to daze the veteran. Then, he will execute a Pop-up Powerbomb through a table in the corner to secure the pinfall.
This match will not be a technical masterpiece. It will be a brutal, physical brawl. But it will serve its purpose.
Oba Femi will leave Hell in a Cell as the definitive victor of this rivalry. He will prove that he belongs at the top of the card. And he will finally be ready to chase the world title he so foolishly put on hold.
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