A historic start that ran out of steam

When AEW launched in 2019, Scorpio Sky was positioned as a foundational piece. Alongside Frankie Kazarian in SCU, he became one-half of the inaugural AEW World Tag Team Champions. He proved he could hang at the top tier, notably scoring a pinfall over Chris Jericho during a high-stakes tag match on Dynamite in November 2019.

That early momentum felt like a launching pad. Sky possessed the fluid athleticism, clean execution, and veteran poise required for television. When he won the Face of the Revolution ladder match in 2021 and subsequently captured the TNT Championship twice in 2022, AEW seemed determined to make him a singles star. Yet, every push hit a wall of creative indifference.

The SkyFlight era fails to move the needle

With reports confirming his AEW contract is nearing its expiration, Sky finds himself slotted alongside Action Andretti in the tag team SkyFlight. It is a functional pair, but functionally invisible on a stacked roster. While Andretti brings raw high-flying energy, Sky acts as the steadying hand. But in 2026, being steady is not enough to secure TV time.

Sky confirmed in recent comments that his current deal is coming to an end. The tone surrounding his situation feels less like a prelude to a renegotiation and more like a quiet exit sequence. AEW's tag division is overcrowded with elite pairings, and SkyFlight consistently sits near the bottom of the card, relegated to ROH taping duty or quick collision matches that lack narrative stakes.

The math simply does not favor a renewal

Look at the AEW roster footprint today compared to 2019. The company has bloated its talent list with international superstars, former world champions, and younger prospects who command immediate attention. Sky turns 43 years old next May. Holding onto a veteran who isn't being pushed or utilized as a marquee draw makes zero financial or creative sense for Tony Khan.

His second TNT Championship run in 2022 was a prime example of bad booking killing momentum. The title bounced back and forth between Sky and Sammy Guevara in a hot-potato feud that left both men worse off. Sky suffered a leg injury shortly after dropping the belt to Wardlow in a street fight that summer, sidelined for over a year. By the time he returned, the train had already left the station.

The prediction: AEW parts ways with the original

Expect AEW to let Scorpio Sky's contract expire quietly without an extension offer. There will be no dramatic on-screen write-off or high-profile retirement angle. Sky will finish out his remaining dates, likely putting over younger talent in tag action, before becoming a free agent.

A return to the independent scene or a stint in TNA or GCW would suit Sky far better at this stage of his career. He remains a polished worker inside the squared circle, but his time as a featured player on AEW television is officially over.